Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.229225 0.271826 0.319538 0.376849 0.443733 0.519232 0.610830
2025-05-25 0.157204 0.209184 0.273818 0.359741 0.470587 0.608348 0.792086
2025-06-01 0.124495 0.180418 0.255514 0.362996 0.512030 0.710388 0.993227
2025-06-08 0.098034 0.152733 0.231103 0.350422 0.526069 0.773399 1.145845
2025-06-15 0.084213 0.139640 0.223592 0.358311 0.566918 0.874887 1.360255
2025-06-22 0.072063 0.126519 0.213292 0.359345 0.596053 0.960640 1.559053
2025-06-29 0.061157 0.113292 0.200402 0.353676 0.612789 1.027752 1.734653
2025-07-06 0.052402 0.102106 0.188929 0.348159 0.628083 1.092809 1.912015
2025-07-13 0.048141 0.098165 0.189102 0.362158 0.677143 1.216984 2.197687
2025-07-20 0.045938 0.097662 0.195183 0.387120 0.747651 1.383566 2.570529
2025-07-27 0.042844 0.094884 0.196553 0.403309 0.803708 1.529789 2.920825
2025-08-03 0.038603 0.089066 0.191227 0.405868 0.834305 1.632807 3.202370
2025-08-10 0.033022 0.079812 0.178420 0.393333 0.837101 1.689841 3.414562
2025-08-17 0.027667 0.070139 0.163408 0.374427 0.825403 1.719180 3.579646
2025-08-24 0.024891 0.065877 0.159267 0.377738 0.859149 1.839725 3.933404
2025-08-31 0.021342 0.059069 0.148390 0.364678 0.856525 1.886866 4.144664
2025-09-07 0.019650 0.056588 0.147054 0.372869 0.900753 2.034030 4.574207
2025-09-14 0.017735 0.053163 0.142934 0.373942 0.929061 2.150241 4.949604
2025-09-21 0.015692 0.048991 0.136323 0.368057 0.940548 2.231075 5.256453
2025-09-28 0.013917 0.045223 0.130143 0.362329 0.951590 2.311736 5.570176
2025-10-05 0.013225 0.044493 0.131826 0.376862 1.013305 2.512487 6.171229
2025-10-12 0.013026 0.045225 0.137568 0.402775 1.106101 2.793277 6.979723
2025-10-19 0.012465 0.044723 0.139810 0.419579 1.177667 3.030674 7.707801